RECESSION
Time is no good nowadays. We have to possibly face a bleak recession if it last say up to two years. Let us hope to tide over this bad time with good attitude, good sense and great unity.
Prof. Lim Chong Yah. I
clearly remember reading his books on Economics when I study for the HSC Exams.
In those days, Economics was considered a new subject and not all pure science
students would take this subject. In the university, economics come under the
Arts & Humanities group.
Economics, it’s a huge
staggering discipline. It is microeconomics, macroeconomics, econometrics,
maths for economics, Political economy of East Asia/SEA, monetary economics,
international trade, money & banking, public finance, development
economics, labour economics & labour relations, environmental economics,
financial economics, economics of strategy, behavioural economics, statistics,
etc. Those who study economics with law, they have an added advantage.
Even students studying
economics at basic level would proudly carry Prof Lim’s book or other voluminous
books in pride. Those were the days. However, not everyone studying economics
did well and some failed. In economics, we learnt about inflation, recession,
foreign exchange, pricing, market forces and etc. Once at a shop, the owner
scolded his account keeper (his son) saying that he should not write the net
sales i.e. it should only be done when the shop closes and not while customers
are still streaming in.
What happens in inflation?
Prices of goods go up, demand for goods and services go up, rental rate go up,
loan rate is up and so on. Business is booming, the economic growth move upward
and the currency of a nation begin to appreciate. Inflation has its woes also
because almost everything is becoming costly. While it is true that with time
standard of living go up, the cost of living is rapidly increasing.
I remember the year started
off bright. Everyone was happy during the New Year celebration. I can recall
the celebratory fireworks in the night sky. Oh! Food, gorgeous food! There are
a lot of food outlets and restaurants serving variety of food: vegetarian,
non-vegetarian, Indian dishes, Chinese dishes, Western dishes, Muslim food,
Thai cuisine, Nepali cuisine, Indonesian cuisine and so on. The music industry
is also booming with the many “boom...boom” throbbing music. People go on
vacation, go to the gym, theatres or cinemas, buy electronic products, purchase
fashionable goods and clothing and so on.
All of us are contributing
to the national economy. Take A as an example. He pays the taxes to the government;
he pays his bills – phone, hand phone, water, gas & lights, rent; he
purchases from the market, shops and also pay the taxi drivers; takes the bus
or train and uses his Easylink card for payment; he has his hair cut at the
barber shop; he go on vacation and pay for his travel fare, airport tax, hotel
room and the shopping and eating abroad; he also take food at the office
canteen and pays the canteen operator and it is on and on. Like most
Singaporeans, he don’t maintain an account of what he spends but roughly
estimate his monthly expenses and try to live within his salary and means.
Just consider what he does:
he gives some income to the barber, to the canteen operator and the various
people he requires for their services or goods. He is a good citizen and he
promptly pays the bills and his taxes. The companies, the state and the various
people receive the money from A and likewise from many other people. This
transaction of money forms the links or economic chains of a nation. The nation
is throbbing with activities – there is development, facilities being
maintained, the people live in satisfaction that things are running smoothly,
the transport system is running and everyone is at work trying to improve their
selves and the nation. The ATM machine dispenses out cash, accepts cash and
also allow for payment of some services. Cash flows in and out. People are
actively engaged. This is how economics work.
Once in a while we do see,
irrespective of the economic condition, shops closing down and they offer high
discounts. People rush to buy the goods so as to enjoy saving. Then there are
some shops offering daily discounts. I have also seen the $1.99 shops but now
they are becoming lesser.